Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001730 0.001907 0.002085 0.002275 0.002474 0.002674 0.002891
2025-02-09 0.001456 0.001738 0.002032 0.002357 0.002705 0.003066 0.003465
2025-02-16 0.001221 0.001589 0.001985 0.002437 0.002935 0.003460 0.004052
2025-02-23 0.000908 0.001323 0.001790 0.002341 0.002964 0.003636 0.004408
2025-03-02 0.000671 0.001114 0.001638 0.002279 0.003021 0.003837 0.004789
2025-03-09 0.000498 0.000957 0.001531 0.002255 0.003113 0.004073 0.005206
2025-03-16 0.000368 0.000835 0.001451 0.002254 0.003225 0.004328 0.005644
2025-03-23 0.000288 0.000766 0.001430 0.002319 0.003411 0.004665 0.006175
2025-03-30 0.000209 0.000684 0.001383 0.002344 0.003546 0.004941 0.006633
2025-04-06 0.000145 0.000608 0.001334 0.002361 0.003667 0.005198 0.007068
2025-04-13 0.000095 0.000540 0.001289 0.002379 0.003785 0.005448 0.007493
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000461 0.001217 0.002354 0.003846 0.005629 0.007835
2025-04-27 0.000020 0.000394 0.001164 0.002360 0.003957 0.005882 0.008279
2025-05-04 0.000008 0.000365 0.001170 0.002450 0.004177 0.006272 0.008892
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000336 0.001173 0.002537 0.004395 0.006663 0.009510
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000247 0.001055 0.002442 0.004374 0.006762 0.009782
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000182 0.000965 0.002380 0.004393 0.006906 0.010108
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000136 0.000904 0.002357 0.004460 0.007109 0.010502
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000104 0.000860 0.002357 0.004556 0.007348 0.010939
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000089 0.000859 0.002424 0.004743 0.007699 0.011511
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000069 0.000834 0.002450 0.004873 0.007978 0.011995
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000050 0.000806 0.002468 0.004990 0.008239 0.012458
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000035 0.000780 0.002486 0.005105 0.008498 0.012916